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2024-12-14 11:20:38

Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.Nuotai Bio-boy Ziquan: Top-level design is the opportunity and innovation of the times to accelerate the transformation of old and new kinetic energy. Recently, the Central Economic Work Conference proposed that scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productive forces and build a modern industrial system. Tong Ziquan, chairman of Nuotai Bio, said that the series deployment of this conference will further promote the in-depth implementation of the innovation-driven development strategy, promote the integrated development of the real economy and the digital economy, advanced manufacturing and modern service industries, foster new quality productivity and form more new growth points, and continue to promote the accelerated transformation of old and new kinetic energy. (SSE)The A-share financing balance hit a new high of more than 9 years, and the big consumption sector broke out. According to china securities journal, on December 12, the A-share market opened lower and went higher. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by nearly 1%, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by more than 1%. More than 3,500 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 150 stocks trading daily, and the big consumer sector broke out. The market turnover was 1.89 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 52 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. In terms of funds, Wind data shows that as of December 11th, the financing balance in the A-share market was 1,875.85 billion yuan, a record high of over 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends.


Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology Hong Kong IPO seeks to publicly issue 40 million shares, with an offering price range of HK$ 18.80-20.80 per share. It is expected that the stock will be priced on December 19th and trading will begin on December 23rd.["Shanghai housing subsidy of 300,000 yuan" and "down payment of 20,000 yuan for 1.8 million hardcover existing houses"? Rumor has come] Recently, there have been a number of housing advertisements on the short video platform. The agent who released the housing claimed that he could receive the "housing subsidy" when buying a house in Shanghai, with the amount ranging from 200,000 yuan to 300,000 yuan. An intermediary declared: "Shanghai Songjiang New Town has a total price of 760,000 yuan and a housing subsidy of 250,000 yuan." "After receiving the subsidy, you can buy a 78-square-meter house with a down payment of 50,000 yuan." There is also an intermediary who claims: "The minimum payment can be only 20,000 yuan, and you can buy a finely decorated existing house with a total price of 1.8 million yuan." The reporter consulted a number of intermediaries and learned that the so-called "purchase subsidies" appearing in short videos are not government subsidies, but gimmicks. When the house-watchers consult subsidies on the spot, different intermediaries will have different calibers. Usually, there are three routines-one is to raise the price first and then lower the price. Second, the so-called "subsidy" is actually that developers lend money to buyers to pay down payment, and buyers have to pay interest. Third, the commission returned by the intermediary to the buyers is packaged as a "subsidy". (Shanghai rumor platform)Nine stowaways' bodies were found in Tunisia, and Tunisia's national news agency reported on the 12th that its coast guard found nine stowaways' bodies in the waters near Mahdiyah province in the east.


Industry: Concerns about the imbalance between supply and demand still exist, and there is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)US National Security Adviser Sullivan: I believe that the Gaza agreement may be reached soon. US National Security Adviser Sullivan said on Thursday that he believes that an agreement on a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza may be reached soon, because Israel has indicated that it is ready and Hamas has shown signs of action.The UN Secretary-General is deeply concerned about the extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty. On the 12th, UN Secretary-General Guterres issued a statement through spokesman Dujaric, expressing deep concern about the recent extensive violation of Syrian sovereignty and territorial integrity, especially the hundreds of Israeli air strikes against Syria. The statement said that the Disengagement of Forces Agreement signed in 1974 is still valid. Guterres condemned all violations of the agreement and called on all parties to fulfill their relevant obligations, including ending all unauthorized presence in the isolation zone and avoiding any actions that undermine the ceasefire and stability in the Golan Heights. (Xinhua News Agency)

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